Combat Edge Intelligence

Bo Nickal vs Krzysztof Jotko

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record29-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
76"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top Team Happy ValleyTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bo NickalNow 1744
If they win+16→ 1760
If they lose-16→ 1728
Krzysztof JotkoNow 1743
If they win+12→ 1755
If they lose-12→ 1731

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1610 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.35
Sig. strikes / min
2.98
61%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.23
60%
Strike defense
57%
3.10
Takedown avg.
1.33
56%
Takedown accuracy
40%
100%
Takedown defense
82%
2.48
Submission avg.
0.07

Trajectory

Bo NickalKrzysztof Jotko
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
8 (28%)
4 (44%)
Submission
2 (7%)
1 (11%)
Decision
19 (66%)

Combat Edge model read

Bo Nickal54%
Krzysztof Jotko 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bo Nickal a 54% favorite over Krzysztof Jotko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1744 vs 1743), separated by just 1 points.

Bo Nickal enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Krzysztof Jotko enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Bo Nickal finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Krzysztof Jotko 34%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.