Bobby Southworth vs Gable Steveson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record3-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
228 lbsWeight265 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamLa Bodega Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
If they win+24→ 1602
If they lose-24→ 1554
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bobby SouthworthGable Steveson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gable Steveson70%
Bobby Southworth 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gable Steveson a 70% favorite over Bobby Southworth in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1578), separated by just 1 points.
Gable Steveson enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Bobby Southworth finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Gable Steveson 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.