Combat Edge Intelligence

Bobby Southworth vs Kent Mafileo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record6-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
228 lbsWeight248 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamRise Boxing

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bobby SouthworthNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
Kent MafileoNow 1577
If they win+24→ 1601
If they lose-24→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.40
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
25%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
66%
Strike defense
TBD
1
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
65%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Bobby SouthworthKent Mafileo
1550160020082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
6 (100%)
2 (20%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Bobby Southworth and Kent Mafileo within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1577), separated by just 0 points.

Bobby Southworth finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Kent Mafileo 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.