Combat Edge Intelligence

Bogdan Grad vs Gabriel Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Bogdan Grad
at

Bogdan Grad

“The Unleashed”

15-4-0FeatherweightUFC

1677Good

Tale of the tape

15-4-0Record12-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
ETTL Bros. MMATeamBrazilian TKO

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bogdan GradNow 1677
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661
Gabriel SantosNow 1678
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.06
Sig. strikes / min
4.69
52%
Strike accuracy
60%
5.06
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.77
49%
Strike defense
48%
4.22
Takedown avg.
3.44
41%
Takedown accuracy
53%
75%
Takedown defense
86%
0
Submission avg.
0.77

Trajectory

Bogdan GradGabriel Santos
160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (60%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
3 (20%)
Submission
5 (42%)
3 (20%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Bogdan Grad59%
Gabriel Santos 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bogdan Grad a 59% favorite over Gabriel Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gabriel Santos's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1677 vs 1678), separated by just 1 points.

Bogdan Grad enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gabriel Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Bogdan Grad finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Gabriel Santos 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.