Combat Edge Intelligence

Bogdan Grad vs Jason Knight

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Bogdan Grad
at

Bogdan Grad

“The Unleashed”

15-4-0FeatherweightUFC

1677Good

Tale of the tape

15-4-0Record23-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70"Reach71,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
ETTL Bros. MMATeamAlan Belcher MMA Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bogdan GradNow 1677
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661
Jason KnightNow 1676
If they win+12→ 1688
If they lose-12→ 1664

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.06
Sig. strikes / min
2.95
52%
Strike accuracy
34%
5.06
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.02
49%
Strike defense
52%
4.22
Takedown avg.
1.31
41%
Takedown accuracy
31%
75%
Takedown defense
47%
0
Submission avg.
1.70

Trajectory

Bogdan GradJason Knight
165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (60%)
KO/TKO
4 (17%)
3 (20%)
Submission
15 (65%)
3 (20%)
Decision
4 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Bogdan Grad62%
Jason Knight 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bogdan Grad a 62% favorite over Jason Knight in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1677 vs 1676), separated by just 1 points.

Bogdan Grad enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bogdan Grad finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Jason Knight 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.