Bogdan Grad vs Javier Reyes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-4-0Record23-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70"Reach73"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
ETTL Bros. MMATeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661
If they win+12→ 1687
If they lose-12→ 1663
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bogdan GradJavier Reyes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Javier Reyes73%
Bogdan Grad 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Javier Reyes a 73% favorite over Bogdan Grad in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bogdan Grad's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1677 vs 1675), separated by just 2 points.
Bogdan Grad enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bogdan Grad finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Javier Reyes 83%.
Javier Reyes carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.