Combat Edge Intelligence

Brad Gumm vs Gilbert Urbina

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-1Record7-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'3"
TBDReach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gumm Mixed Martial ArtsTeamBMF Ranch

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brad GummNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
Gilbert UrbinaNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
TBD
Strike accuracy
57%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.62
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.86
TBD
Takedown accuracy
44%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Brad GummGilbert Urbina
155016001650200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
5 (50%)
Submission
2 (29%)
4 (40%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Gilbert Urbina55%
Brad Gumm 45%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Gilbert Urbina a 55% favorite over Brad Gumm in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1572), separated by just 5 points.

Brad Gumm enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Gilbert Urbina enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brad Gumm finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Gilbert Urbina 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.