Brad Riddell vs Evan Elder
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
71"Reach72"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
City KickboxingTeamNick Diaz Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brad RiddellEvan Elder
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Evan Elder53%
Brad Riddell 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Evan Elder a 53% favorite over Brad Riddell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1650), separated by just 2 points.
Brad Riddell enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Evan Elder enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Brad Riddell finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Evan Elder 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.