Brad Riddell vs Noah Gugnon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record9-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
71"Reach68"
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
City KickboxingTeamBulgarian Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brad RiddellNoah Gugnon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Noah Gugnon59%
Brad Riddell 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Noah Gugnon a 59% favorite over Brad Riddell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brad Riddell's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1648), separated by just 0 points.
Brad Riddell enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Noah Gugnon enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Brad Riddell finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Noah Gugnon 100%.
Brad Riddell carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.