Brady Hiestand vs Muin Gafurov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record20-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
71"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
SikjitsuTeamTaj-Fighter
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brady HiestandMuin Gafurov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brady Hiestand51%
Muin Gafurov 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Brady Hiestand a 51% favorite over Muin Gafurov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Muin Gafurov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1661), separated by just 1 points.
Brady Hiestand enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Brady Hiestand finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Muin Gafurov 85%.
Brady Hiestand and Muin Gafurov share 1 common opponent: Chad Anheliger.
Brady Hiestand carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.