Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Hester vs Denis Tiuliulin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record10-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Undisputed GladiatorsTeamEvolve Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brandon HesterNow 1532
If they win+24→ 1556
If they lose-24→ 1508
Denis TiuliulinNow 1537
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.61
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.23
TBD
Strike defense
38%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.96
TBD
Takedown accuracy
43%
TBD
Takedown defense
72%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brandon HesterDenis Tiuliulin
155016002018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
9 (90%)
3 (75%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (25%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Brandon Hester60%
Denis Tiuliulin 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Hester a 60% favorite over Denis Tiuliulin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Denis Tiuliulin's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1532 vs 1537), separated by just 5 points.

Brandon Hester enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Denis Tiuliulin enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Brandon Hester finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Denis Tiuliulin 90%.

Brandon Hester and Denis Tiuliulin share 1 common opponent: Gregory Rodrigues.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

Loss Body Kick · 2019
Gregory Rodrigues
LossKO/TKO · 2023