Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Sayles vs Tai Tuivasa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tai Tuivasa
au

Tai Tuivasa

“Bam Bam”

14-10-0HeavyweightUFC

1611Solid

Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record14-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'2"
TBDReach75"
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
Fort Benning MMATeamLions High Performance Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brandon SaylesNow 1611
If they win+24→ 1635
If they lose-24→ 1587
Tai TuivasaNow 1611
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
3.66
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.97
TBD
Strike defense
44%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
60%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brandon SaylesTai Tuivasa
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
13 (93%)
3 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Tai Tuivasa60%
Brandon Sayles 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tai Tuivasa a 60% favorite over Brandon Sayles in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brandon Sayles's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1611), separated by just 0 points.

Tai Tuivasa enters on a 7-fight loss streak.

Brandon Sayles finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tai Tuivasa 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.