Combat Edge Intelligence

Brent Primus vs Ismael Bonfim

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record20-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top Team PortlandTeamCerrado MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brent PrimusNow 1683
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667
Ismael BonfimNow 1681
If they win+16→ 1697
If they lose-16→ 1665

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.51
TBD
Strike accuracy
54%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.71
TBD
Strike defense
65%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.06
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
77%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brent PrimusIsmael Bonfim
17001750202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (14%)
KO/TKO
9 (45%)
8 (57%)
Submission
4 (20%)
4 (29%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Ismael Bonfim62%
Brent Primus 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ismael Bonfim a 62% favorite over Brent Primus in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brent Primus's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1681), separated by just 2 points.

Brent Primus enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ismael Bonfim enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brent Primus finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Ismael Bonfim 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.