Combat Edge Intelligence

Brent Primus vs Thiago Moisés

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record19-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top Team PortlandTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brent PrimusNow 1682
If they win+16→ 1698
If they lose-16→ 1666
Thiago MoisésNow 1683
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.48
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.08
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.31
TBD
Takedown accuracy
36%
TBD
Takedown defense
53%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.14

Trajectory

Brent PrimusThiago Moisés
17002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (14%)
KO/TKO
4 (21%)
8 (57%)
Submission
8 (42%)
4 (29%)
Decision
7 (37%)

Combat Edge model read

Thiago Moisés62%
Brent Primus 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Thiago Moisés a 62% favorite over Brent Primus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1682 vs 1683), separated by just 1 points.

Brent Primus enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Thiago Moisés enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brent Primus finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Moisés 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.