Combat Edge Intelligence

Bret Bergmark vs Eoin Sheridan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-1-1Record5-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'5"
TBDReach81"
169 lbsWeight171 lbs
Cesar Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bret BergmarkNow 1620
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596
Eoin SheridanNow 1620
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.78
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
53%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
38%
Strike defense
TBD
4.17
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
4.17
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Bret BergmarkEoin Sheridan
15501600200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
1 (17%)
Submission
1 (20%)
3 (50%)
Decision
2 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Eoin Sheridan60%
Bret Bergmark 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eoin Sheridan a 60% favorite over Bret Bergmark in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bret Bergmark's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1620), separated by just 0 points.

Bret Bergmark enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Eoin Sheridan enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Bret Bergmark finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Eoin Sheridan 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.