Bruno Silva vs Nate Marquardt
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-13-0Record36-20-2
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74"Reach42,0"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Brazilian TKOTeamHigh Altitude Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
If they win+12→ 1663
If they lose-12→ 1639
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bruno SilvaNate Marquardt
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bruno Silva60%
Nate Marquardt 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Bruno Silva a 60% favorite over Nate Marquardt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nate Marquardt's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1651), separated by just 3 points.
Bruno Silva enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Bruno Silva finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Nate Marquardt 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.