Combat Edge Intelligence

Bruno Silva vs Jose Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-9-2Record16-10-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height6'0"
65"Reach71"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Pitbull BrothersTeamTwin Wolves MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bruno SilvaNow 1619
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607
Jose JohnsonNow 1608
If they win+12→ 1620
If they lose-12→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.95
Sig. strikes / min
2.22
51%
Strike accuracy
58%
4.69
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.64
52%
Strike defense
53%
2.01
Takedown avg.
0.71
25%
Takedown accuracy
60%
72%
Takedown defense
39%
0.25
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Bruno SilvaJose Johnson
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
5 (33%)
Submission
3 (19%)
4 (27%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Bruno Silva53%
Jose Johnson 47%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Bruno Silva a 53% favorite over Jose Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1608), separated by just 11 points.

Bruno Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jose Johnson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bruno Silva finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Jose Johnson 69%.

Jose Johnson carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.