Bryan Baker vs Jonathan Micallef
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record10-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'0"
TBDReach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Wildman Vale TudoTeamCombat 1 MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bryan BakerJonathan Micallef
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jonathan Micallef70%
Bryan Baker 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Micallef a 70% favorite over Bryan Baker in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bryan Baker's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1696 vs 1696), separated by just 0 points.
Bryan Baker enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jonathan Micallef enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Bryan Baker finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Micallef 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.