Combat Edge Intelligence

Bryan Caraway vs Ethyn Ewing

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ethyn Ewing
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Ethyn Ewing

“The Professor Finesser”

10-2-0BantamweightUFC

1684Good

Tale of the tape

22-9-0Record10-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
68,0"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamCSW Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bryan CarawayNow 1683
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
Ethyn EwingNow 1684
If they win+16→ 1700
If they lose-16→ 1668

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.53
Sig. strikes / min
7.44
34%
Strike accuracy
55%
3.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.53
54%
Strike defense
63%
2.57
Takedown avg.
1.68
26%
Takedown accuracy
60%
81%
Takedown defense
100%
0.75
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bryan CarawayEthyn Ewing
1500155016001650170020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (9%)
KO/TKO
7 (70%)
16 (73%)
Submission
1 (10%)
4 (18%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Ethyn Ewing70%
Bryan Caraway 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ethyn Ewing a 70% favorite over Bryan Caraway in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1684), separated by just 1 points.

Ethyn Ewing enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Bryan Caraway finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Ethyn Ewing 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.