Combat Edge Intelligence

Buddy Roberts vs Jackson McVey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record7-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'4"
TBDReach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamSt. Charles MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Buddy RobertsNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Jackson McVeyNow 1620
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.17
Sig. strikes / min
6.51
34%
Strike accuracy
69%
2.08
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.37
70%
Strike defense
24%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
76%
Takedown defense
0%
0.65
Submission avg.
1.20

Trajectory

Buddy RobertsJackson McVey
15501600165020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
5 (42%)
Submission
4 (57%)
3 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jackson McVey66%
Buddy Roberts 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jackson McVey a 66% favorite over Buddy Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1620), separated by just 1 points.

Buddy Roberts finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jackson McVey 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.