Combat Edge Intelligence

Cameron Stewart vs Michael Lerma

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Michael Lerma

Michael Lerma

“Body Snatcher”

0-1-0LightweightK-1

1473Average

Tale of the tape

1-3-0Record0-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight154 lbs
Team Sure GripTeamIronhorse Boxing Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cameron StewartNow 1461
If they win+25→ 1486
If they lose-23→ 1438
Michael LermaNow 1473
If they win+23→ 1496
If they lose-25→ 1448

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.46
TBD
Strike accuracy
54%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.23
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.27
TBD
Takedown accuracy
52%
TBD
Takedown defense
77%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.81

Trajectory

Cameron StewartMichael Lerma
14501500200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (100%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Cameron Stewart63%
Michael Lerma 37%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Cameron Stewart a 63% favorite over Michael Lerma in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michael Lerma's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1461 vs 1473), separated by just 12 points.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.