Carli Judice vs Dione Barbosa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record9-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'6"
68"Reach 66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Headkicks MMATeamKings MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1646
If they lose-25→ 1598
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carli JudiceDione Barbosa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carli Judice60%
Dione Barbosa 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Carli Judice a 60% favorite over Dione Barbosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1615), separated by just 8 points.
Carli Judice enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Carli Judice finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Dione Barbosa 44%.
Carli Judice and Dione Barbosa share 1 common opponent: Ernesta Kareckaite.
Carli Judice carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.