Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Felipe vs Dan Evensen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record11-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
75,0"ReachTBD
245 lbsWeight252 lbs
Life MMATeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos FelipeNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Dan EvensenNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.88
Sig. strikes / min
0.27
46%
Strike accuracy
11%
5.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.86
51%
Strike defense
38%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
73%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
3.99

Trajectory

Carlos FelipeDan Evensen
15501600165020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (70%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (10%)
6 (50%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Felipe63%
Dan Evensen 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Felipe a 63% favorite over Dan Evensen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1627), separated by just 0 points.

Dan Evensen enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Carlos Felipe finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Dan Evensen 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.