Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Mota vs Jose Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record16-10-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height6'0"
69"Reach71"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Pr1meira FightTeamTwin Wolves MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos MotaNow 1611
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
Jose JohnsonNow 1608
If they win+12→ 1620
If they lose-12→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.80
Sig. strikes / min
2.22
41%
Strike accuracy
58%
1.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.64
54%
Strike defense
53%
0
Takedown avg.
0.71
TBD
Takedown accuracy
60%
50%
Takedown defense
39%
1
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Carlos MotaJose Johnson
16001650202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (19%)
4 (50%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Mota62%
Jose Johnson 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Mota a 62% favorite over Jose Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1608), separated by just 3 points.

Jose Johnson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Carlos Mota finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jose Johnson 69%.

Jose Johnson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.