Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Mota vs Kiru Sahota

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record12-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'10"
69"Reach73"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Pr1meira FightTeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos MotaNow 1611
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
Kiru SahotaNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.80
Sig. strikes / min
4.33
41%
Strike accuracy
57%
1.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.47
54%
Strike defense
42%
0
Takedown avg.
1
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
50%
Takedown defense
50%
1
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Carlos MotaKiru Sahota
1600165020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (17%)
4 (50%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Mota60%
Kiru Sahota 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Mota a 60% favorite over Kiru Sahota in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1609), separated by just 2 points.

Kiru Sahota enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Carlos Mota finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Kiru Sahota 67%.

Kiru Sahota carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.