Combat Edge Intelligence

Chance Rencountre vs Florim Zendeli

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record9-2-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'1"
75,0"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Alliance MMATeamPlanet Eater

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chance RencountreNow 1649
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633
Florim ZendeliNow 1648
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.10
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
21%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
49%
Strike defense
TBD
1.35
Takedown avg.
TBD
27%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
17%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.34
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chance RencountreFlorim Zendeli
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
3 (33%)
5 (31%)
Submission
4 (44%)
5 (31%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Florim Zendeli66%
Chance Rencountre 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Florim Zendeli a 66% favorite over Chance Rencountre in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chance Rencountre's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1648), separated by just 1 points.

Chance Rencountre finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Florim Zendeli 78%.

Florim Zendeli carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.