Combat Edge Intelligence

Chang Ho Lee vs Timur Valiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record19-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'6"
69"Reach67"
136 lbsWeight138 lbs
Monster HouseTeamDagFighter

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chang Ho LeeNow 1703
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687
Timur ValievNow 1707
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.92
Sig. strikes / min
5.19
67%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
40%
Strike defense
45%
3.27
Takedown avg.
1.73
33%
Takedown accuracy
40%
38%
Takedown defense
56%
0.36
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Chang Ho LeeTimur Valiev
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
5 (26%)
1 (9%)
Submission
2 (11%)
4 (36%)
Decision
12 (63%)

Combat Edge model read

Chang Ho Lee70%
Timur Valiev 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Chang Ho Lee a 70% favorite over Timur Valiev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Timur Valiev's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1703 vs 1707), separated by just 4 points.

Chang Ho Lee finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Timur Valiev 37%.

Chang Ho Lee carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.