Combat Edge Intelligence

Charlie Campbell vs John Cholish

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record8-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'11"
72"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Longo-Weidman MMATeamRenzo Gracie Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Charlie CampbellNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
John CholishNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.55
Sig. strikes / min
2.65
54%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.29
55%
Strike defense
73%
2.95
Takedown avg.
1.82
40%
Takedown accuracy
31%
71%
Takedown defense
79%
0
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Charlie CampbellJohn Cholish
160016501700201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (50%)
3 (33%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Charlie Campbell70%
John Cholish 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Charlie Campbell a 70% favorite over John Cholish in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1639), separated by just 1 points.

John Cholish enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Charlie Campbell finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, John Cholish 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.