Chase Gormley vs Jake Collier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-9-0Record14-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
TBDReach78"
264 lbsWeight257 lbs
Reign MMATeamPit MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540
If they win+16→ 1564
If they lose-16→ 1532
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chase GormleyJake Collier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chase Gormley52%
Jake Collier 48%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Chase Gormley a 52% favorite over Jake Collier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1548), separated by just 8 points.
Chase Gormley enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Chase Gormley finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Jake Collier 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.