Combat Edge Intelligence

Chase Hooper vs Damian Rzepecki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-5-1Record10-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
74"Reach73.6"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Combat Sport & FitnessTeamTop Fit Center Piotrkow Trybunalski

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chase HooperNow 1691
If they win+16→ 1707
If they lose-16→ 1675
Damian RzepeckiNow 1693
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1480 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.50
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
49%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
40%
Strike defense
TBD
2.43
Takedown avg.
TBD
2%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
55%
Takedown defense
TBD
2.08
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chase HooperDamian Rzepecki
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
8 (50%)
Submission
5 (50%)
4 (25%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Damian Rzepecki53%
Chase Hooper 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Damian Rzepecki a 53% favorite over Chase Hooper in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1693), separated by just 2 points.

Chase Hooper enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Damian Rzepecki enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Chase Hooper finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Damian Rzepecki 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.