Combat Edge Intelligence

Chase Hooper vs Roman Bogatov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-5-1Record13-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'9"
74"Reach39,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Combat Sport & FitnessTeamBoets MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chase HooperNow 1691
If they win+16→ 1707
If they lose-16→ 1675
Roman BogatovNow 1691
If they win+16→ 1707
If they lose-16→ 1675

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.50
Sig. strikes / min
3.33
49%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
40%
Strike defense
45%
2.43
Takedown avg.
1
2%
Takedown accuracy
9%
55%
Takedown defense
50%
2.08
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chase HooperRoman Bogatov
165017001750202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
8 (50%)
Submission
5 (42%)
4 (25%)
Decision
6 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Chase Hooper66%
Roman Bogatov 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chase Hooper a 66% favorite over Roman Bogatov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1691), separated by just 0 points.

Chase Hooper enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chase Hooper finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Roman Bogatov 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.