Combat Edge Intelligence

Chase Hooper vs Zubaira Tukhugov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-5-1Record20-6-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'8"
74"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight158 lbs
Combat Sport & FitnessTeamTiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chase HooperNow 1691
If they win+16→ 1707
If they lose-16→ 1675
Zubaira TukhugovNow 1692
If they win+12→ 1704
If they lose-12→ 1680

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.50
Sig. strikes / min
3.17
49%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.07
40%
Strike defense
64%
2.43
Takedown avg.
2.13
2%
Takedown accuracy
39%
55%
Takedown defense
100%
2.08
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chase HooperZubaira Tukhugov
165017001750202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
7 (35%)
8 (50%)
Submission
1 (5%)
4 (25%)
Decision
12 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Chase Hooper70%
Zubaira Tukhugov 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chase Hooper a 70% favorite over Zubaira Tukhugov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Zubaira Tukhugov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1692), separated by just 1 points.

Chase Hooper enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chase Hooper finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Zubaira Tukhugov 40%.

Chase Hooper carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.