Chelsea Chandler vs Marion Reneau
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-4-0Record9-8-1
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
68"ReachTBD
137 lbsWeight135 lbs
Cesar Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamElite Team
What's at stake
Chelsea Chandler is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Marion Reneau carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1599
If they lose-17→ 1567
If they win+17→ 1586
If they lose-15→ 1554
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chelsea ChandlerMarion Reneau
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chelsea Chandler70%
Marion Reneau 30%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Chelsea Chandler a 70% favorite over Marion Reneau in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Chelsea Chandler holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1584 to 1569, a 15-point edge.
Marion Reneau enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Chelsea Chandler finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Marion Reneau 89%.
Chelsea Chandler and Marion Reneau share 1 common opponent: Yana Santos.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.