Combat Edge Intelligence

Chepe Mariscal vs Darren Elkins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record29-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'10"
69″Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamDuneland Vale Tudo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chepe MariscalNow 1700
If they win+12→ 1712
If they lose-12→ 1688
Darren ElkinsNow 1699
If they win+12→ 1711
If they lose-12→ 1687

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.95
Sig. strikes / min
3.40
56%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.22
52%
Strike defense
52%
2.85
Takedown avg.
2.86
39%
Takedown accuracy
35%
73%
Takedown defense
56%
0.22
Submission avg.
1.08

Trajectory

Chepe MariscalDarren Elkins
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
9 (31%)
3 (17%)
Submission
6 (21%)
8 (44%)
Decision
14 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Chepe Mariscal70%
Darren Elkins 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chepe Mariscal a 70% favorite over Darren Elkins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1700 vs 1699), separated by just 1 points.

Chepe Mariscal finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Darren Elkins 52%.

Darren Elkins carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.