Combat Edge Intelligence

Chepe Mariscal vs Yadier del Valle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record10-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
69″Reach69"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamGracie Barra Westchase

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chepe MariscalNow 1700
If they win+12→ 1712
If they lose-12→ 1688
Yadier del ValleNow 1700
If they win+16→ 1716
If they lose-16→ 1684

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.95
Sig. strikes / min
6.25
56%
Strike accuracy
67%
3.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.87
52%
Strike defense
53%
2.85
Takedown avg.
2.08
39%
Takedown accuracy
43%
73%
Takedown defense
75%
0.22
Submission avg.
3.47

Trajectory

Chepe MariscalYadier del Valle
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
3 (17%)
Submission
4 (40%)
8 (44%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Yadier del Valle60%
Chepe Mariscal 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yadier del Valle a 60% favorite over Chepe Mariscal in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chepe Mariscal's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1700 vs 1700), separated by just 0 points.

Chepe Mariscal finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Yadier del Valle 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.