Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Cariaso vs Seung Guk Choi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-8-0Record9-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'7"
TBDReach64"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fight and FitnessTeamKorean Zombie MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris CariasoNow 1636
If they win+12→ 1648
If they lose-12→ 1624
Seung Guk ChoiNow 1636
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.35
Sig. strikes / min
2.69
44%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.69
61%
Strike defense
66%
1.11
Takedown avg.
1.02
39%
Takedown accuracy
28%
58%
Takedown defense
74%
0.84
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chris CariasoSeung Guk Choi
16001650201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (18%)
KO/TKO
3 (33%)
2 (12%)
Submission
0 (0%)
12 (71%)
Decision
6 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Seung Guk Choi58%
Chris Cariaso 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Seung Guk Choi a 58% favorite over Chris Cariaso in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Cariaso's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1636), separated by just 0 points.

Chris Cariaso enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Seung Guk Choi enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Chris Cariaso finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Seung Guk Choi 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.