Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Daukaus vs Herdem Alacabek

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-8-0Record5-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team BalanceTeamBlack House

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris DaukausNow 1611
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
Herdem AlacabekNow 1616
If they win+24→ 1640
If they lose-24→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.05
Sig. strikes / min
3.84
50%
Strike accuracy
66%
4.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.66
55%
Strike defense
23%
0
Takedown avg.
2.06
0%
Takedown accuracy
50%
100%
Takedown defense
43%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chris DaukausHerdem Alacabek
1600165017002018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

11 (92%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (40%)
1 (8%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Herdem Alacabek70%
Chris Daukaus 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Herdem Alacabek a 70% favorite over Chris Daukaus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1616), separated by just 5 points.

Chris Daukaus enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Chris Daukaus finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Herdem Alacabek 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.