Chris Daukaus vs Ivan Erslan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
12-8-0Record15-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
76"Reach72"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Team BalanceTeamAmerican Top Team Zagreb
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris DaukausIvan Erslan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ivan Erslan60%
Chris Daukaus 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Ivan Erslan a 60% favorite over Chris Daukaus in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Daukaus's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1605), separated by just 6 points.
Chris Daukaus enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Chris Daukaus finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Ivan Erslan 73%.
Chris Daukaus carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.