Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Duncan vs Ronys Torres

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chris Duncan

Chris Duncan

“The Problem”

15-3-0LightweightUFC

1722Good

Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record43-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris DuncanNow 1722
If they win+16→ 1738
If they lose-16→ 1706
Ronys TorresNow 1719
If they win+12→ 1731
If they lose-12→ 1707

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1657 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.02
Sig. strikes / min
0.87
46%
Strike accuracy
26%
4.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.93
51%
Strike defense
58%
3.27
Takedown avg.
4
43%
Takedown accuracy
47%
50%
Takedown defense
17%
0.65
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Chris DuncanRonys Torres
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
13 (30%)
4 (27%)
Submission
20 (47%)
4 (27%)
Decision
10 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Duncan72%
Ronys Torres 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Duncan a 72% favorite over Ronys Torres in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1722 vs 1719), separated by just 3 points.

Chris Duncan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Ronys Torres 77%.

Chris Duncan and Ronys Torres share 1 common opponent: Jonathan Carlos.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2022
Jonathan Carlos
Win Decision · 2024