
Chris Gutierrez vs Payton Talbott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Payton Talbott a 67% favorite over Chris Gutierrez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Gutierrez's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1749 vs 1742), separated by just 7 points.
Payton Talbott enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Chris Gutierrez finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Payton Talbott 73%.
Payton Talbott carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.