Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Gutierrez vs Payton Talbott

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-5-2Record11-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'10"
67"Reach70"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Factory XTeamReno Academy of Combat

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris GutierrezNow 1749
If they win+12→ 1761
If they lose-12→ 1737
Payton TalbottNow 1742
If they win+16→ 1758
If they lose-16→ 1726

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1687 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.59
Sig. strikes / min
6.05
59%
Strike accuracy
55%
2.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.26
63%
Strike defense
46%
0.24
Takedown avg.
0.24
25%
Takedown accuracy
25%
70%
Takedown defense
77%
0.08
Submission avg.
0.24

Trajectory

Chris GutierrezPayton Talbott
165017001750202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (41%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
1 (5%)
Submission
1 (9%)
12 (55%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Payton Talbott67%
Chris Gutierrez 33%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Payton Talbott a 67% favorite over Chris Gutierrez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Gutierrez's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1749 vs 1742), separated by just 7 points.

Payton Talbott enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Chris Gutierrez finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Payton Talbott 73%.

Payton Talbott carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.