Chris Leben vs Dustin Stoltzfus
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-12-0Record16-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height5'11"
TBDReach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Alliance MMATeamFrankers Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1623
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris LebenDustin Stoltzfus
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dustin Stoltzfus67%
Chris Leben 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Stoltzfus a 67% favorite over Chris Leben in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1637), separated by just 2 points.
Chris Leben enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Dustin Stoltzfus enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Leben finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Dustin Stoltzfus 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.