Chris Mixan vs Devin Smyth
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record10-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Pete White Boxing and MMATeamMurcielago MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1623
If they lose-24→ 1575
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris MixanDevin Smyth
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Mixan62%
Devin Smyth 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Mixan a 62% favorite over Devin Smyth in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Devin Smyth's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1601), separated by just 2 points.
Chris Mixan finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Devin Smyth 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.