Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Mixan vs Rico Farrington

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chris Mixan
us

Chris Mixan

“Cossack”

7-3-0WelterweightPFL

1599Solid

Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record8-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'4"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Pete White Boxing and MMATeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris MixanNow 1599
If they win+24→ 1623
If they lose-24→ 1575
Rico FarringtonNow 1603
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
6.33
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.20
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
20%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chris MixanRico Farrington
1600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
1 (14%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (14%)
Decision
5 (63%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Mixan66%
Rico Farrington 34%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Mixan a 66% favorite over Rico Farrington in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rico Farrington's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1603), separated by just 4 points.

Chris Mixan finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Rico Farrington 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.