Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Morecraft vs Mohammed Usman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record11-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'2"
TBDReach79"
261 lbsWeight237 lbs
Team BombsquadTeamWar Room Kickboxing & MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Christian MorecraftNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
Mohammed UsmanNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.82
Sig. strikes / min
3.85
34%
Strike accuracy
39%
2.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.27
46%
Strike defense
51%
3.26
Takedown avg.
0.56
67%
Takedown accuracy
14%
50%
Takedown defense
67%
2.17
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Christian MorecraftMohammed Usman
165020122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
5 (63%)
Submission
2 (18%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Mohammed Usman52%
Christian Morecraft 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mohammed Usman a 52% favorite over Christian Morecraft in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Christian Morecraft's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1638), separated by just 0 points.

Christian Morecraft finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mohammed Usman 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.