Christopher Alvidrez vs Peter Sobotta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-1-0Record17-7-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
The Goat Shed AcademyTeamPlanet Eater
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1676
If they lose-24→ 1628
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Christopher AlvidrezPeter Sobotta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Christopher Alvidrez70%
Peter Sobotta 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Christopher Alvidrez a 70% favorite over Peter Sobotta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1652), separated by just 0 points.
Christopher Alvidrez enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Peter Sobotta enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Christopher Alvidrez finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Peter Sobotta 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.