Combat Edge Intelligence

Christos Giagos vs Michael Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

20-12-0Record24-20-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
71"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Black HouseTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Christos GiagosNow 1611
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599
Michael JohnsonNow 1613
If they win+12→ 1625
If they lose-12→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1676 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.03
Sig. strikes / min
4.28
42%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.79
51%
Strike defense
59%
2.84
Takedown avg.
0.58
37%
Takedown accuracy
39%
52%
Takedown defense
81%
0.39
Submission avg.
0.04

Trajectory

Christos GiagosMichael Johnson
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (40%)
KO/TKO
10 (42%)
4 (20%)
Submission
2 (8%)
8 (40%)
Decision
12 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Johnson60%
Christos Giagos 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Johnson a 60% favorite over Christos Giagos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1613), separated by just 2 points.

Christos Giagos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Christos Giagos finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Michael Johnson 50%.

Christos Giagos and Michael Johnson share 2 common opponents: Daniel Zellhuber and Thiago Moisés.

Michael Johnson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossSubmission · 2023
Daniel Zellhuber
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025
LossSubmission · 2022
Thiago Moisés
LossSubmission · 2020