Combat Edge Intelligence

Cj Vergara vs Takeru Uchida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-1Record7-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
68" ReachTBD
127 lbsWeight125 lbs
Pete Spratt American Muay ThaiTeamParaestra Matsudo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cj VergaraNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Takeru UchidaNow 1600
If they win+24→ 1624
If they lose-24→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.10
Sig. strikes / min
0
57%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.74
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0
53%
Strike defense
0%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
61%
Takedown defense
0%
0.18
Submission avg.
4.37

Trajectory

Cj VergaraTakeru Uchida
1550160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (100%)
5 (42%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Takeru Uchida72%
Cj Vergara 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Takeru Uchida a 72% favorite over Cj Vergara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1600), separated by just 3 points.

Cj Vergara enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Cj Vergara finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Takeru Uchida 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.