Combat Edge Intelligence

Cody Brundage vs Garreth McLellan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-9-1Record13-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
72″Reach72,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Factory XTeamFightFit Militia

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cody BrundageNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
Garreth McLellanNow 1583
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.26
Sig. strikes / min
3.56
49%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.94
51%
Strike defense
45%
1.88
Takedown avg.
1.15
42%
Takedown accuracy
22%
69%
Takedown defense
35%
0.50
Submission avg.
0.86

Trajectory

Cody BrundageGarreth McLellan
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (64%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
3 (27%)
Submission
9 (69%)
1 (9%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Cody Brundage66%
Garreth McLellan 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Cody Brundage a 66% favorite over Garreth McLellan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1583), separated by just 5 points.

Garreth McLellan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Cody Brundage finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Garreth McLellan 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.