Combat Edge Intelligence

Cory Devela vs Dustin Stoltzfus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cory Devela
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Cory Devela

“The One”

16-7-0MiddleweightWSOF

1634Solid

Tale of the tape

16-7-0Record16-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'11"
TBDReach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Victory AthleticsTeamFrankers Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cory DevelaNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Dustin StoltzfusNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.30
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.23
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.08
TBD
Takedown accuracy
10%
TBD
Takedown defense
47%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.11

Trajectory

Cory DevelaDustin Stoltzfus
16001650201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
3 (20%)
6 (38%)
Submission
6 (40%)
5 (31%)
Decision
6 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Dustin Stoltzfus56%
Cory Devela 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Stoltzfus a 56% favorite over Cory Devela in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1637), separated by just 3 points.

Dustin Stoltzfus enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cory Devela finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Dustin Stoltzfus 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.