Combat Edge Intelligence

Cristian Quiñonez vs Yrysbek Tilenov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-5-0Record8-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'8"
70"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
Entram GymTeamIhlas

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cristian QuiñonezNow 1655
If they win+16→ 1671
If they lose-16→ 1639
Yrysbek TilenovNow 1656
If they win+24→ 1680
If they lose-24→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.19
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
55%
Strike defense
TBD
1.37
Takedown avg.
TBD
38%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
84%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Cristian QuiñonezYrysbek Tilenov
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (53%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
3 (16%)
Submission
1 (13%)
6 (32%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Yrysbek Tilenov73%
Cristian Quiñonez 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yrysbek Tilenov a 73% favorite over Cristian Quiñonez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1655 vs 1656), separated by just 1 points.

Yrysbek Tilenov enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Cristian Quiñonez finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Yrysbek Tilenov 75%.

Cristian Quiñonez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.